دراسة تحليلية قياسية لأثر أدوات السياسة المالية في الناتج المحلي الإجمالي في سورية خلال الفترة (2000-2022)

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the impact of fiscal policy instruments on Syria Gross Domestic Product (GDP) during the period 2000–2022, given the significant role these instruments play in addressing economic problems faced by economies in general, and the Syrian economy in particular.

statistical and econometric methods were employed to analyze data and measure the impact of dependent variable represented by GDP on the independent variables, namely: current expenditure, investment expenditure, tax revenues, non-tax revenues, investment revenues, and exceptional revenues. This was accomplished by adopting descriptive, analytical, and econometric approaches, utilizing the ARDL methodology to estimate the study model.

The results revealed a significant positive impact of both current expenditure and investment expenditure on GDP in Syria during the study period (2000–2022). the results also indicated a significant negative impact of exceptional revenues on GDP an aspect that has not been clearly addressed in previous studies. Regarding investment revenues, tax revenues, and non-tax revenues, the results showed no significant impact on Syria’s GDP in Syria.