دور التجارة الخارجية في دعم سياسات التنمية الاجتماعية في سورية

Abstract

The research aims to identify the role of foreign trade in supporting social development policies in Syria. Social development indicators were identified in (education, health, and poverty) and the impact of foreign trade indicators were studied, namely (trade openness, transit, temporary entry, balance of payments) using time series analysis during the period 1985-2020 based on the descriptive analytical approach and published official data.

The most prominent results of the research:

- The independent variable (growth of trade openness) does not have a significant effect on (education growth rate), while (transit growth rate) and (temporary entry growth rate) have a significant effect on (education growth rate) and the effect is direct, but (balance of payments deficit growth rate.) has a significant effect on (education growth rate) and the effect is inverse.

- The independent variable (growth of trade openness) does not have a significant effect on (growth rate of health index), while (growth rate of transit) and (growth rate of temporary entry) have a significant effect on (growth rate of health index) and the effect is direct, but (growth rate of balance of payments deficit.) has a significant effect on (growth rate of health index) and the effect is reversed.

- The independent variable (growth of trade openness) does not have a significant effect on (growth rate of poverty reduction), while (growth rate of transit) and (growth rate of temporary entry) have a significant effect on (poverty reduction rate) and the effect is direct, but (growth rate of balance of payments deficit.) has a significant effect on (poverty reduction rate) and the effect is reversed