Evaluating the Competitive Performance of Exports of Tomatoes, Potatoes, and Eggplants in Global Markets for the period (2014-2023)

Abstract

This research aimed to analyze the competitive advantage of Syria's most important agricultural export crops (tomatoes, potatoes, and eggplants) during the period (2014-2023), focusing on their performance in global markets. The research relied on a quantitative and descriptive methodology, using regression models and competitive indicators such as Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Market Share (MS), and Relative Prices (RP), with data analysis from the Trademap website and the EViews 13 program.

The results showed fluctuations in the export performance of Syrian vegetable crops due to economic sanctions and weak infrastructure, with crops enjoying a price and competitive advantage in some markets, while eggplant exports were concentrated in the Lebanese market. The models predicted a direct relationship between GDP per capita and the demand for tomatoes, potatoes, and eggplants in key markets, contrary to the export price of the three crops, which had a negative impact, as the models projected an increase in tomato exports and a decrease in potato exports by 2028.

The research recommended market diversification, quality improvement, and support for farmers and exporters through agricultural and trade policies to enhance competitiveness.